Predictability of Financial Crises:
The Impact of Fundamental, Policy-induced and Institutional Vulnerabilities on China Compared to Other Emerging Markets
This book develops an integrated framework that extends conventional early warning analysis beyond macro-financial fundamentals to include policy-induced and institutional vulnerabilities. It applies the framework to China’s 2015–16 exchange-rate turbulence and its experience relative to other emerging markets.
Chief Witch: Yes that’s right.
Macbeth: I understand you can foretell the future.
BBC Radio Programme, 1968
Thou this be madness, yet there is method in it.
Hamlet, Shakespeare, 1601